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Benjamin L. Mabry's avatar

To what extent does the decline in ministers correspond to the fact that it is increasingly difficult to maintain an upper-middle class lifestyle as a full-time pastor? One of the key features of the rising cost of living is that while objective indexes of cost-of-living might seem reasonable, when you factor in the class difference (the additional costs needed to maintain membership in the Upper-Middle Class) then the COL issue takes on a whole new aspect. What's becoming extremely expensive is not life itself, but the kind of life and respect that a person with a college degree expects to get as someone who self-identifies as UMC.

Full-time ministers tend to have expectations that they're going to be of equivalent social standing to engineers, lawyers, doctors, professors, businessmen, and other highly educated managers of modern society. However, it's become far less realistic that a person is going to be able to maintain that lifestyle on a minister's salary. The number of houses in the "good" neighborhood and school district are shrinking, the prices of those houses are growing rapidly, as the Upper-Middle Class today pulls up the drawbridge behind them and locks the rest of society out. I have a feeling that a lot of intelligent, capable young people considering ministry are specifically eyeing the house in the gated community and wondering if choosing this profession is going to lock them out of their social class. I see it frequently among fellow professors, this sense of abandoning teaching because they can't afford to keep working for such low wages without catastrophic loss of quality of life.

In which case, the preacher shortage is another thing downstream of the "secession of the successful" and its parallel effect, the lumpenization of labor.

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Sid Davis's avatar

Anecdotally, I observed many of your predictions take place in the fundamentalist world 10 years ago. Some churches experienced growth, as many smaller churches died out and it lended itself to unrealistic expectations for many up and coming leaders (in particular those involved in church plants). Talent instead of being one of several factors, became the deciding factor in whether or not a Bible college grad got a decent job afterward.

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